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USD/JPY Pressured as 10-Year Yield Spikes to 5%

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The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield briefly touched 5% this week, its highest level since 2007, a move that directly feeds into the yield-differential trade driving USD/JPY. Higher long-end yields typically support the dollar against the yen, but the speed of the move is raising volatility concerns.

Rising oil prices are compounding the pressure, feeding inflation expectations and complicating the rate outlook that USD/JPY traders rely on for directional bias.

With yields this elevated, any dovish surprise from the Fed could trigger a sharp unwind in dollar longs versus the yen, making this week's price action highly sensitive to incoming data.

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