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Forex Forecast: Dollar Index Tests Support as Stocks Diverge

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The US stock market's split into two distinct camps, AI infrastructure winners versus everything else, is spilling into currency markets and complicating the forex forecast outlook for the dollar. The DXY is hovering near technical support as traders digest mixed signals from equities and bonds.

A confirmed break below current support would open the door to further greenback softness against the euro and pound, especially if Treasury yields continue their post-SVB-style slide.

Conversely, a bounce off support alongside stabilizing AI-sector sentiment could see the dollar reclaim short-term strength, keeping the broader forex forecast finely balanced into the next data releases.

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