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Press Release: Persian Gulf Oil Flows Near Pre-War Levels in October

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This press release details October shipping data showing oil flows out of the Persian Gulf nearly returning to levels recorded before the onset of the Iran war, marking a meaningful recovery in regional export logistics.

Despite the normalization in volume, traders are withholding conviction on a corresponding drop in prices, citing the fragility of the recovery and lingering geopolitical risk premiums embedded in current contracts.

The data release underscores a disconnect between physical supply normalization and price behavior, suggesting market participants are pricing in residual uncertainty rather than treating the flow recovery as a durable, risk-free signal.

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