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WTI Faces Supply Crosscurrents as China's CNOOC Posts Record Profit

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CNOOC's record first-half profit, up 23.4% year-on-year to 85.8 billion yuan, reflects both higher realized oil prices following the Iran war and a deliberate Chinese push to boost domestic offshore production. Oil and gas sales revenue climbed 20% to 206.1 billion yuan, with offshore field growth cited as the primary driver, reducing Beijing's reliance on imported barrels precisely as global supply chains grow more complicated.

This domestic supply growth in one of the world's largest importers adds a subtle bearish crosscurrent for WTI, even as geopolitical risk premiums from Hormuz and broader Middle East tensions keep a floor under prices near $80.

WTI traders should weigh this China production story alongside Aramco's rerouted Asian shipments, since expanding non-Gulf supply options could gradually dampen the volatility premium currently embedded in crude futures.

BP AI